Cash Flow & Liability Matching
We map liabilities (e.g., home purchase in 5 years) to dedicated
sleeves using liability-driven investing (LDI),
matching durations (e.g., 5-year bond ladders) to minimize reinvestment risk. Cash
flows from coupons/principals align
precisely, using high-quality assets like TIPS (inflation-protected) or CDs for
predictability.
Techniques include immunization (matching Macaulay duration to liability timing) and
stress testing for rate changes
(convexity adjustments for non-parallel shifts). This reduces forced sales in
downturns, with buffers for inflation (3%
assumed). For pensions, we integrate with ALM, targeting surplus for growth assets.
Projections use Monte Carlo for scenarios, ensuring 95% funding probability. Annual
rebalancing maintains alignment,
incorporating 2026 outlooks like moderating inflation.